EIA Today in Energy intl_gas_lng D1

发布：2026-10-15 · 事件：2026-10-15

We expect energy expenditures this winter to vary because of diverging trends in energy prices among fuels and regional variation in forecast temperatures. We expect that lower prices for natural gas ...

We expect energy expenditures this winter to vary because of diverging trends in energy prices among fuels and regional variation in forecast temperatures. We expect that lower prices for natural gas and propane will drive decreases in expenditures this year for the half of U.S. households heating with those fuels. Higher prices for electricity and heating oil drive increased expenditures for households heating with those fuels in our forecast. Although we expect national average temperatures to be similar to last winter, our forecast assumes warmer temperatures in the Northeast, following a relatively cold winter last year, and much colder temperatures in the West, following an unusually warm winter last year. Temperatures in the Midwest and South are similar to last year. Homes that use heating oil as their main heating fuel—about 3% of U.S. homes, which are mostly in the Northeast—could see the largest increase in spending this year. We expect a 21% increase in spending on heating oil compared with last winter, driven by increasing global distillate prices. We forecast the price of heating oil will average 34% more this winter than last winter, but warmer forecast temperatures are expected to partly offset our forecast increase in prices. We expect the more than 40% of homes heating with electricity will experience a 4% increase in electricity bills on average. We expect energy expenditures will decrease on average by 9% in homes heating with natural gas and by 3% in those heating with propane. Distillate dynamics Global distillate fuel production, which includes heating oil production, has dropped because of reduced global refining activity. Lower production has caused rising international prices, driving up both the cost to import distillate to the United States and the demand for distillate exports from the United States. Through the first seven months of 2026, U.S. distillate exports increased 20% over the same period last year, with much of the increased volumes sent to Europe. With more costly U.S. imports and higher demand for U.S. exports, U.S. distillate fuel stocks are low heading into winter. We expect inventories will be about 11% below the five-year average in the fourth quarter of 2026. Principal contributors: EIA Staff Tags: prices , WFO (Winter Fuels Outlook) , STEO (Short-Term Energy Outlook) , heating oil , weather , diesel Crude oil, gasoline, heating oil, diesel, propane, and other liquids including biofuels and natural gas liquids. Exploration and reserves, storage, imports and exports, production, prices, sales. Sales, revenue and prices, power plants, fuel use, stocks, generation, trade, demand & emissions. Reserves, production, prices, employment and productivity, distribution, stocks, imports and exports. Uranium fuel, nuclear reactors, generation, spent fuel. Includes hydropower, solar, wind, geothermal, biomass and ethanol. Forms EIA uses to collect energy data including descriptions, links to survey instructions, and additional information. Comprehensive data summaries, comparisons, analysis, and projections integrated across all energy sources. Energy use in homes, commercial buildings, manufacturing, and transportation. State energy information, including overviews, rankings, data, and analyses. International energy information, including overviews, rankings, data, and analyses. Greenhouse gas data, voluntary reporting, electric power plant emissions. Monthly and yearly energy forecasts, analysis of energy topics, financial analysis, congressional reports. Special market analysis and/or data requests. International energy analyses. Tools to customize searches, view specific data sets, study detailed documentation, and access time-series data. EIA's free and open data available as API, Excel add-in, bulk files, and widgets Come test out some of the products still in development and let us know what you think! EIA's open source code, available on GitHub. Sign up for email subscriptions to receive messages about specific EIA products Subscribe to feeds for updates on EIA products including Today in Energy and What's New. Lesson plans, science fair experiments, field trips, teacher guide, and career corner.